Meant to report on this yesterday: On Friday, the Chicago Tribune ran a long article on the state-run Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority — aka McPier — and its $450 million convention center hotel and $250 million DePaul University arena projects, and determined that, well:
The Tribune found that McPier’s formula for success is based on a series of optimistic and risky predictions.
The $250 million figure [for annual economic impact] comes from a McPier-funded study that assumes DePaul fans will fill almost all of the arena’s 10,000 seats for games — nearly tripling the team’s recent average attendance. The Blue Demons, who now play in suburban Rosemont, haven’t had a winning record since 2007.
McPier officials also are hoping that, between basketball games, the arena will host convention meetings, concerts and other events, bringing new guests to the planned hotel, a 1,200-room, $450 million Marriott Marquis. But a recent study commissioned in New York found that sports facilities are unattractive to conventions because of their fixed seating, a sentiment some convention officials also expressed to the Tribune.
The arena is mostly being paid for out of McPier’s budget, which is already stretched to the breaking point and heavily subsidized by state taxes; the city of Chicago is kicking in $55 million in tax-increment financing money, while DePaul is putting in $82 million, almost half of which it will get back from naming rights and sponsorship deals. (The arena’s price tag, you may recall, was originally $140 million, but ballooned to $250 million when it was determined that it was being built in dirt that was too soft.)
There’s much more to the Tribune story, including a note that more than half of the projected economic benefits would be from money that’s already being spent in Chicago by local residents — though given that it’s already been reported that DePaul’s economic study included counting tickets that the university buys from itself and never uses, really all of its numbers should be treated as apocryphal. Perhaps best of all is the quote that the Trib managed to get from Chicago sports consultant Marc Ganis, who almost never sees a stadium deal he doesn’t like, but who said of the DePaul arena, “It was a dumb idea when it was proposed, it was a dumb idea when they approved it and it will be a dumb idea in the future.” Convention authorities really will throw money at just about anything regardless of past results, won’t they?