Last night, Oakland A’s stadium-search czar Dave Kaval told the San Francisco Chronicle that team execs had entered an agreement to buy 49 acres of land just west of the Las Vegas Strip for the purposes of building a $1 billion, 35,000-seat stadium and relocating the team.
“For a long time we were on parallel paths and right now, at this moment, and with this transaction that we just entered into, we are really focusing our efforts on Las Vegas and on bringing the 20-year saga of the A’s stadium venue efforts to kind of a final positive conclusion,” Kaval told the Chronicle. He later told the Las Vegas Sun that the plan is to enter a public-private partnership — more on that in a minute — and open a “partially domed” (the Sun’s words) stadium at the corner of Tropicana Avenue and Dean Martin Drive by the start of the 2027 season.
So far, this wasn’t yet necessarily a death knell for the Oakland A’s: Team owner John Fisher will still need to negotiate the public share of that billion-dollar price tag, making this very much like the Chicago Bears situation with Arlington Heights, where the team owners have control of the land they want but are still jockeying for the tax kickbacks they say they need to build a stadium. But what happened next might well put the A’s on the fast track to their fourth city in the last 70 years:
- Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao announced that she was cutting off talks on a new A’s stadium at Howard Terminal, effective immediately. Declaring herself “deeply disappointed that the A’s have chosen not to negotiate with the City of Oakland as a true partner,” she said that “in the last three months, we’ve made significant strides to close the deal. Yet, it is clear to me that the A’s have no intention of staying in Oakland and have simply been using this process to try to extract a better deal out of Las Vegas. I am not interested in continuing to play that game — the fans and our residents deserve better.”
- Kaval, told of the mayor’s remarks, replied, “That’s the first I’ve heard of that, to be honest with you. And I guess what I would say is we are always open to a dialogue.”
There are two ways to read this — as Kaval genuinely being surprised because he was hoping to use the Vegas plans to get a bidding war going, or as Kaval trying to spin the team’s relocation plans as “Hey, we wanted to leave the door open to staying in Oakland, it’s the mayor who shut down talks” — and your tea leaves are as good as mine for determining which is the case. But for now, at least, it’s full speed ahead toward the Las Vegas A’s, which raises an absolute ton of questions:
- Where will the money for a stadium come from? Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo immediately declared his happiness at the prospect of the A’s moving to his state, but decidedly did not commit to anything about stadium funding, continuing his tightlippedness on the subject. Finding a billion dollars — or more, depending on whether “partially domed” means a retractable roof as has been discussed before or just an elaborate sun roof — is not a trivial matter, especially when Kaval seems to have just given up all his leverage by burning his bridges in Oakland. The Nevada Independent, however, reports, citing unnamed sources, that Lombardo has secretly signed off on kicking back sales taxes from a ballpark district, plus providing around $500 million in “transferrable tax credits,” which would allow the governor to provide a Raiders-level payout to Fisher while still technically sticking to a “no new taxes” pledge. (UPDATE: Kaval confirmed to The Athletic that he’s working on an “incentive package” worth “$500 million,” though “we’re not all the way there.”)
- Where would the A’s play until a new stadium is ready? The team’s Oakland lease expires after next season, and Thao seems unlikely to agree to extend it for a lame duck franchise. Fisher does own the Las Vegas Aviators [CORRECTION: Fisher doesn’t own them, he just has a development agreement with them], who play in Summerlin, Nevada (and who Kaval said would stay put as a Las Vegas A’s farm club), so a timesharing arrangement for that team’s stadium is possible [NON-CORRECTION: still possible!] — it only holds 10,000 fans, but then, it’s unlikely more people than that are going to want to turn out to see an A’s squad that is currently last in the majors with a beyond abysmal 3-16 record.
- Would MLB approve a move? Three-quarters of the league’s owners would have to vote to approve a relocation, and while they’re generally supportive of each others’ plans and would undoubtedly love to see the A’s situation finally resolved, you also have to wonder if they’ll all be quick to okay trading down from a second team in a large market to what would be the smallest media market in the league. There’s also the matter of any relocation decision taking place against a backdrop of the U.S. trying to figure out how to reallocate the Southwest’s dwindling water supply from the Colorado River, which could throw a wrench into a lot of plans not just for Las Vegas but for other cities like Phoenix as well.
I have absolutely expressed skepticism that the A’s would move in the past, for the simple reason that it wasn’t clear any deal Fisher and Kaval could extract from Nevada would be better than the $775 million in infrastructure money he has on the table from Oakland — though if the reports about Nevada tax kickbacks are true, that could well shift the financial incentives. But regardless, as the history of sports, not to mention other things, shows clearly, this is how momentous decisions tend to get made: not by calm, rational thinking, but by gamesmanship and impulsiveness and falling in love with a dream even if it turns out you haven’t fully thought through all the consequences. Unless there’s a major curveball soon — Kaval told the Sun the A’s face a January 2024 deadline, though it wasn’t immediately clear for what — it looks likely that we’re going to see only the second MLB relocation in the last 50 years, for better or for worse. Which means all that’s left to do is to haggle over the price: Hold onto your wallets, Nevadans.