I almost wrote something earlier this week about this Economist article on the flood of new stadium subsidy demands, but decided it wasn’t worth my time or yours since it doesn’t really report any new news. But then all youse all kept emailing me about it so fine: We’re going to go over it, and do so in excruciating detail, because oh, are its details ever excruciating:
On a summer evening in Kansas City, Kauffman Stadium is a fine place to be. … But amid the bonhomie is an undercurrent of worry. In April nearly 60% of local residents rejected a sales tax that would have helped pay for a new ballpark. Now there is a chance that the Royals might pick up their bats and go elsewhere. “If it stopped them from leaving, I’d take the tax,” says Daniel Capp, a lifelong fan.
That’s all technically true as far as it goes, but “a chance that the Royals might pick up their bats and go elsewhere” is a gross exaggeration: All signs are that team owner John Sherman will either try again in Kansas City, Missouri, try next door in North Kansas City, or try the other next door across the Kansas border — and attempts at that last one are so far going nowhere fast. So the odds on lifelong fans no longer being able to watch the Royals are pretty long.
Whether the Royals end up staying in Missouri or moving, one outcome seems all but assured: taxpayers somewhere will end up footing much of the bill for their new stadium.
Assuming the Royals get a new stadium, and don’t just stay put at their current one, which continues to be ranked as one of the best in baseball.
Virtually every new professional-sports venue in America is built with public funds. And the subsidies are only growing, even as evidence piles up that they are almost always lousy investments.
True!
Stadium construction tends to come in waves. Most venues are used for about 30 years before their owners look for new digs.
Not true! Nowadays plenty of team owners start looking for new digs well before the 30-year mark, with the Atlanta Braves and Texas Rangers owners famously getting fresh stadiums approved just 26 and 22 years, respectively, after their previous ones opened. And that’s only because it’s harder to demand a new stadium before your lease is running out at the old one, or at least when the optics would look too bad — as sports economist Rodney Fort memorably said, “I don’t see anything wrong, from an owner’s perspective, with the idea of a new stadium every year.”
In baseball, Tampa Bay is building a new stadium, Cleveland is undertaking renovations and Oakland is hoping to move to Las Vegas.
Tampa Bay Rays owner Stu Sternberg is currently waiting to see if St. Petersburg will approve public money for a new stadium. The Guardians renovations are already underway. Oakland is not moving anywhere (except maybe slowly southward relative to San Francisco), but A’s owner John Fisher is hoping to move his team to Vegas.
In basketball, Los Angeles is building a glitzy new arena, and Philadelphia and Oklahoma City hope to follow.
The Los Angeles Clippers‘ new arena is in Inglewood, not Los Angeles, and Clippers owner Steve Ballmer is footing the bill, though Inglewood did use its powers of eminent domain to obtain land for him. The Philadelphia 76ers arena plans are still very much up in the air, while the Oklahoma City Thunder had their arena approved by voters last December.
In the 1960s and 1970s cities regularly stumped up 100% of the money for new stadiums.
Yes, but they were also routinely repaid much of that money in rent payments and revenue sharing. That all came to a screeching halt in the late 1980s, as team owners began demanding that the public cover most or all of the costs while getting little to nothing in return.
As it became clear that über-rich owners captured many of the profits from the sports played there, officials started to demand that they should pay for more of the building.
[citation badly needed]
Public funding now covers about 40% of costs.
According to J.C. Bradbury, Dennis Coates, and Brad Humphreys’ big study in 2023, yes, for the first years of the 2020s, though that’s skewed somewhat by the new Los Angeles Rams and Golden State Warriors venues, both of which opened during that time and were entirely privately funded.
The economic case for stadiums rests on three pillars: they create thousands of jobs; they unleash a steady stream of consumption; and they serve as anchors for thriving neighbourhoods. But a half-century of evidence suggests that the three pillars are actually rather wobbly.
True! Though limiting the discussion of this to just two paragraphs seems like pretty short shrift.
[Some Kansas City voters] were upset that, along with a new home for the Royals, the money would have gone to renovations of the stadium used by the Chiefs, the city’s football team, including sprucing up VIP suites.
If anything, the Chiefs renovations were likely more popular than the new Royals stadium, both because they wouldn’t have required tearing down a neighborhood and because the Chiefs are more popular than the Royals.
In Chicago a proposed lakefront stadium for the city’s football team has run into political hurdles, but the project may well go ahead on a different site.
The “political hurdles” are at the state level, so the Bears owners are unlikely to get around them by moving to a different site unless they come up with a ton of money out of their own pockets, which doesn’t seem to be what they’re interested in.
The root of the problem is fandom itself. Local politicians craving re-election do not want to be known for presiding over the exodus of their city’s beloved team.
Don’t make me come in there with the fact that only one city in history (Seattle) has voted a local politician out of office by fans angry at a team leaving, while several cities have voted out elected officials for approving stadium subsidies!
Love of sports, like many passions, is not reducible to rational calculations.
Really, that’s your kicker? Those Americans sure do love their sportsball, enough to give billions of dollars in tax money to it. Perhaps you might want to explain, then, Economist, why your native England has a little bit of a rabid sports fandom thing going on, yet massive stadium subsidies there are rare?
Overall: A C-minus, maybe? It gets right that sports stadium subsidies are common in the U.S., but gets wrong the reasons why, which way things are trending, and the details of a lot of specific sports subsidy demand campaigns. I would expect this from an American news outlet that assigned this to an intern along with 10 other articles that day, but not so much from a 181-year-old British magazine that says right there in its name that it has expertise in economics. I guess love of a cheap clickbait narrative, like many passions, is not reducible to rational calculations.