Friday roundup: Missouri gov vows bidding war for Chiefs and Royals, Coyotes (?) owner (??) throws in towel

Has there ever been a week before this where two cities dropped a combined $1.425 billion on sports stadium subsidies? Actually, yeah, there was that week in April 2022 when Maryland approved $1.8 billion in stadium subsidies one day after New York approved $1 billion in stadium subsidies, which is honestly going to be tough to beat. Part of this is just how state legislative calendars work, with elected officials typically racing to get potentially unpopular bills passed super-quick at the end of sessions before anyone notices, but it can still feel alarming in the same way a couple of sports subsidy plans getting defeated in quick succession can feel encouraging. “Don’t get distracted by small sample sizes” is probably the best guidance, though “Whoever has the gold makes the rules” isn’t bad either.

Anyway, it’s Friday, so you know what that means! Let’s see what else has been happening:

Share this post:

Charlotte approves priciest-ever stadium renovation deal for Panthers, because that’s how Charlotte does

And that went exactly as expected:

Just three weeks after plans were unveiled for renovations at Bank of America Stadium, the Charlotte City Council voted in favor on Monday on giving $650 million to help fund the project.

The stadium is nearly 30 years old, but Carolina Panthers and Charlotte FC owner David Tepper wants to give it new life.

In addition to $650 million from the city, the tentative agreement also requires Tepper provide $150 million upfront, with promises to invest hundreds of millions more over the next several years.

Yes, we are at the point in human history where a sports stadium that opened 28 years ago is unironically portrayed as needing “new life.” Sports economist Rod Fort was truly prescient when he said back in 2001, “I don’t see anything wrong, from an owner’s perspective, with the idea of a new stadium every year.”

As for the spending breakdown, the immediate split is indeed $650 million from the city on a stadium it didn’t build and doesn’t own, and $150 million from the team’s multibillionaire owner; the “hundreds of millions more” that David Tepper would be on the hook for amounts to about $250 million in present value, and that’s assuming he actually spends it, given that that part appears to be just a promise and not a contractual commitment. In exchange, Tepper would commit to keeping the Panthers in town through 2039, making it at $43.3 million a year the most expensive per-year lease extension deal in sports history. And, of course, Tepper gets to start “good faith” negotiations with Charlotte for a whole new stadium in 2037, because the old one will be 41 years old then and won’t have been renovated in a whole decade, no way to put new life into that, it should have gone to the Carousel years ago.

That should be enough to put the Panthers agreement comfortably in the discussion for “worst deal ever,” but the seven of 10 Charlotte councilmembers who voted for the plan remained bullish, with councilmember Tariq Bokhari gushing, “We’re going to see and explosion of economic impact in Uptown.” Mayor Vi Lyles added that the “yes” vote shows “what Charlotte is all about.” Couldn’t agree more, but maybe not quite in the way she meant it.

Share this post:

Panthers owner celebrates pending $650m renovation subsidy by demanding new stadium in 2046

With the Charlotte city council set to vote on the proposed $650 million Carolina Panthers stadium renovation deal today, and likely to approve it overwhelmingly, Joe Bruno of WSOC-TV in Charlotte took a look at the meeting agenda, and hold onto your hats, we’re down a rabbit hole:

The city is eyeing 2046 for a new stadium for the Panthers and Charlotte FC…

According to the agenda, the city will start negotiating with Tepper Sports & Entertainment by April 1, 2037.

So what does that mean, exactly? Over to the Charlotte Observer:

The new stadium would be located in Charlotte and potentially be ready for the 2046 season, according to terms of the agreement set to be voted on Monday by the City Council. Terms say the negotiations would be about design and construction of the stadium and the “need for potentially new funding sources.”

So would this be a contractual guarantee of a new stadium, or just a promise to talk more about one in 12 years, or what? Agenda, you have anything more for us?

New Stadium: On or before April 1, 2037, the City of Charlotte and TSE will commence good faith negotiations regarding the design and construction of a new stadium to be located in the City of Charlotte that would be completed in time for the 2046 season. In furtherance of such good faith negotiations, the parties understand the need for potentially new funding sources. The parties will negotiate the use of hospitality funds for the purposes of studies and analysis regarding a new stadium.

Okay, now we’re getting a least a little somewhere. One of the terms of the Panthers stadium renovation deal is that in 13 years, the city of Charlotte and Panthers owner David Tepper will start negotiating in good faith on a new stadium to replace the one being renovated now. How much it would cost, who would pay for it, and any other details are all wrapped up in that term “good faith,” which promises to make an interesting enforceability challenge if Tepper ever decides to go to court to force a future Charlotte administration to deliver on this promise of a new stadium. The use of future “hospitality funds” — hotel and restaurant taxes — is, we should note, only specifically committed for “studies and analysis” of a new stadium, not actually building it, so who pays how much for one is entirely up in the air.

Once everyone started freaking the hell out, a city spokesperson tried to walk the whole thing back:

Image

I would dispute “common” given that I’ve never seen a clause like this in another stadium/arena renovation agreement, but it’s certainly possible I’ve missed a couple.

In any case, while I’ll defer to lawyers on what this clause actually means in terms of a contractual promise, it’s likely more important in terms of priming the pump for Tepper’s next ask: He’s officially putting local residents on notice that once he gets this $650 million, the clock is ticking until his next demand for public cash. It’s a slightly risky gambit, since “fix my old stadium for me, then once that’s done I’ll ask you for a new one” is not the best sales pitch; if he already has the council vote in the bag, though, then if Tepper really does intend on coming back with his hand out again in a little over a decade, he can at least say he did warn everyone.

Share this post:

Friday roundup: Kansas-Missouri stadium border war gets hot, yet another non-economist cited as economics expert

Happy heat dome Friday! Hope those of you in the parts of the U.S. that are broiling are staying inside watching soccer tournaments and cranking the air-conditioning and … okay, maybe that isn’t the best plan. We’ll try to come up with a better one before the Paris Olympics, which will once again provide athletes from around the world with the opportunity to compete for medals and maybe die of heatstroke. (Or mutant sharks. But more likely heatstroke.)

Where was I? Oh, right, stadium and arena scams, plenty of those to go around while we wait for the world to boil:

  • Missouri elected officials are up in arms over Kansas elected officials’ passage of legislation to allow selling billions of dollars of tax-funded bonds to lure the Kansas City Chiefs and Royals across state lines, and are also prepared to work on their own stadium subsidy legislation in response. “Today’s vote regrettably restarts the Missouri-Kansas incentive border war, ” said Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas, adding, “We remain in the first quarter of the Kansas City stadium discussion.” Missouri House Majority Leader Jonathan Patterson, calling the Kansas stadium bond legislation “a wakeup call to Missouri,” said he expects his state to put together its own legislation later this year. It’s all going according to plan!
  • Meanwhile, some developer dude took it upon himself to hire an architecture firm to design a rendering of a Royals stadium on the Kansas-Missouri border, with most of the stadium in Kansas but the right field wall in Missouri, that wouldn’t cause any problems figuring out which state would collect sales taxes to then kick back to team owner John Sherman. Lots of nice fireworks and people flinging their hands in the air, though.
  • WTOP reported Wednesday: “The projected benefits of a new Washington Commanders stadium being built in D.C., which were detailed in a report the city released last week, are largely honest and reasonable, according to a University of Maryland economist who reviewed it.” Unfortunately, three sentences later the radio news station revealed that Michael Faulkender is actually a finance professor, not economics, which is not the same thing at all. The University of Maryland does have an economist who’s an expert in stadium deals, but WTOP didn’t ask him for his opinion, they must have wandered into the wrong classroom building, that probably happens a lot.
  • Facing a vote on whether or not to commit to spending $775 million in public money on upgrades to Jacksonville Jaguars owner Shad Khan’s stadium, the Jacksonville city council yesterday pushed back — on spending $94 million on affordable housing and homelessness prevention as part of an accompanying “community benefits” package. The council says it’ll still come up with the money after taking “some time this summer to work on this,” and it doesn’t affect the $150 million from Khan for community benefits (over 30 years, so really only worth about half that amount), so nothing to worry about, elected officials never go back on their promises!
  • Charlotte was apparently “working on [a Carolina Panthers stadium] deal for a year and a half” before letting the public in on the details, yeah, that might be a story.
  • I personally prefer not to get my news in video form, as you’ve no doubt noticed from the endless scroll of plain text that is this website, but if you do, this report from More Perfect Union on “How Sports Team Owners Scam Communities Out of Billions”  is worth checking out: It has me in it, and also an A’s fan organizer saying “we’re all about kicking John Fisher in the nuts,” what’s not to like?
Share this post:

As Charlotte residents debate Panthers stadium plan, city leaders inflate how much team owner would kick in

The Charlotte city council yesterday held its sole public comment period on its proposed $650 million Carolina Panthers subsidy before the day of its final vote, and apparently local residents had as hard time as me figuring out when and where exactly it was being held, because only 23 people showed up to speak. (It was also in the middle of a work day.) Of those, 15 were in favor, six were opposed, and two had mixed feelings, with comments ranging from that this would be an “investment [that] directly benefits our community” to “if [the current stadium is] good enough for Beyoncé, it’s good enough for half the city.”

That doesn’t tell us much about overall public sentiment, so I want to instead focus on this paragraph from the Charlotte Business Journal’s article on the public comment session:

While Tepper Sports is slated to pay 19%, or $150 million, of the four-year, $800 million renovation tab spanning 2025 through 2029, both parties calculate Tepper Sports’ investment at $688 million overall. That figure includes $117 million spent on improvements between 2018 and 2024 as well as an estimated $421 million more for anticipated stadium investments over the rest of the deal between 2029 and 2045.

A bunch of things here:

  • “Both parties” here means Panthers owner David Tepper and city officials, I guess, but since those are the two who are both in favor of the stadium project, it’s not really as universal an opinion as this makes it sound.
  • Crediting Tepper for $117 million in money he already spent on upgrades over the last six years is an odd way to calculate a deal — it’s not like he’s going to travel back in time and undo that work if he doesn’t get $650 million in fresh city money. Also, Charlotte taxpayers put in at least $25 million toward those renovations, if we’re counting past private spending shouldn’t we count past public spending too?
  • It appears that the $421 million in future improvements would be spread out over time from 2029 to 2045, meaning Tepper would only have to set aside about $250 million now to pay them off, while Charlotte taxpayers would be on the hook for their $650 million right now. (I also can’t find confirmation that Tepper would be committing to all that spending as opposed to just “expecting” to do it, though I’m still digging for the actual language.)
  • Tepper owns the stadium and would receive all revenues from it, while Charlotte would just get a commitment that the team would stay put for 15 more years.

This is an excellent example of how to torture numbers until they show what you want them to: In this case, that the public covering between 60% and 80% of future renovation costs for a privately owned and operated football stadium is somehow an even split. Not that it particularly matters — the public doesn’t get a vote here, only the council will — but it’s probably always a good idea to cover your butt so as to avoid getting shot in it.

Share this post:

Friday roundup: St. Pete gives initial okay to Rays’ record $1.6B stadium subsidy, final vote set for July

Happy Friday, everybody — we’ve made it to the end of another week again, which seems to keep taking longer and longer, I blame the Moon.

And on to the news briefs, starting with a not-so-brief to cover what would get its own item if this were any other day of the week:

  • The St. Petersburg city council took its first vote on the proposed Tampa Bay Rays stadium project yesterday — St. Pete is one of those cities where the council has to vote on things twice, just to be sure — and as expected, it narrowly passed, with five out of eight councilmembers in favor. The official city expense is $212.5 million in property-tax kickbacks on the stadium site plus $130 million in infrastructure spending, but this leaves out a ton of hidden subsidies that Rays owner Stuart Sternberg would be getting:
    • About $300 million (present value) in future tax money from Pinellas County
    • $320 million worth of future property-tax reductions from the city and county
    • $700 million worth of land in exchange for payments worth just $80 million, making for a $620 million public gift

    That comes to a public subsidy of roughly $1.6 billion, which would shatter the Tennessee Titansrecord of $1.26 billion, at least until the next stadium project comes along. There’s still a final council vote to be taken on July 11, before which the city still needs to provide final documents — a local Sierra Club organizer called the process a “runaway train,” while Southern Poverty Law Center lawyers asked the city to “reconsider this rushed and chaotic timeline” — but the writing does seem to be on the wall. MLB commissioner Rob Manfred said, “I think they’ve done a phenomenal job in Tampa Bay, competing, and I think enhanced revenue streams just provides flexibility that can only make things better,” which I think means he’s happy, my universal translator doesn’t do Manfredese.

  • A consulting report for Washington, D.C. estimates that a new Commanders stadium in the district could create $1.26 billion in “yearly economic output,” and while I haven’t read the full document yet, economist J.C. Bradbury has the best response anyway: “I fear going into the details grants some legitimacy to the idea that there is some debate over the economic impact of stadiums. If the consultants feel the decades of economic research on the subject is in error, they are free to submit their challenges to peer review.” (The city also commissioned a second report on how to finance said stadium, but has no plans to release it, so you know it’s got to be juicy — fire off the FOIA requests!)
  • Charlotte Mayor Vi Lyles spoke yesterday about why she thinks a $650 million Carolina Panthers stadium renovation subsidy in exchange for just a 15-year lease extension would be good deal despite Charlotte residents apparently thinking otherwise, and one thing she said was: “This is an investment in our future. That’s why is strongly support what we’re doing with Tepper Sports. Yes, I wish we had the ability to do this on our own. But we have to partner with Tepper Sports and our hospitality industry.” We wish we could pay for the whole stadium renovation, but sadly we have to let the team owner who would benefit from it chip in is certainly a choice, let’s just say that.
  • MLB is apparently requiring all teams’ new nonrelocation agreements to allow playoffs games at a neutral site, and Athletics stadium czar Dave Kaval says that’d be great for Las Vegas, which could be in line to host a neutral-site World Series if baseball ever decides to do like the NFL does with the Super Bowl. Given that it’s going to take decades for every team’s nonrelocation agreement to expire and be rewritten, and that Las Vegas could be uninhabitable by then, that’s maybe not the most convincing argument, but Kavals gonna Kaval, especially when he needs to distract from the mess that is the team’s Vegas stadium plans.
  • R.J. Anderson wrote a super-long look at the public ownership model for pro sports teams for CBS Sports this week, and while I have some quibbles — in particular, it tends to conflate community ownership by fans (the Green Bay Packers, German soccer teams) with public ownerships by municipalities (several Canadian Football League teams and minor-league baseball teams) — it’s a good, in-depth overview. Whether either fan ownership or public ownership would necessarily put an end to stadium subsidy demands is an open question: The Packers did demand money to upgrade Lambeau Field, and sports leagues have leaned on municipally owned teams to build new stadiums. But as Anderson notes, at least fans and municipal officials have other priorities than just squeezing every last penny of profit out of teams, so there would be some benefits like cheaper tickets and fewer move threats, which would at least be a start.
Share this post:

Charlotte web commenters overwhelmingly say Panthers’ $650m stadium subsidy sucks

So while the Charlotte city government isn’t revealing the responses to the comment form it set up for the proposed Carolina Panthers stadium renovation deal that would cost taxpayers $650 million, WFAE public radio got ahold of the results, and they’re not pretty:

A review of the responses shows that roughly 300 of the 450 people who responded online said they opposed the deal. The most common reason they gave: The city should not use public dollars to subsidize a multi-billionaire, David Tepper. People said he should “pay for his own damn stadium.”…

There were roughly 85 people who were enthusiastic about the project, saying it would raise the city’s profile.

There were roughly 70 who weren’t for or against it. They just said they wanted things like real grass instead of artificial turf or a canopy over the stands.

Now, this is a web poll, which is about the most unscientific thing possible, so we have no idea how well this represents Charlotte residents as a whole, or whether many respondents don’t even live in North Carolina or are dogs or whatever. Still, 300 comments opposed and 85 in favor is not a great ratio, which is no doubt why Charlotte economic development director Tracy Dodson avoided mentioning any numbers in her Monday presentation of the survey results, instead just saying that some people wanted the money used for other things, while others wanted to create opportunities for local businesses — the truth surely must lie somewhere in the middle!

At the behest of five of the 11 city councilmembers (Dimple Ajmera, Renee Johnson, Victoria Watlington, Tiawana Brown, and LaWana Mayfield), the council agreed to move up its single public comment period on the stadium plan from the same day as its June 24 final vote on the project to a week earlier, next Monday, June 17. So we should get a little better sense then of the actual mood of the local public.

Dodson, meanwhile, isn’t waiting to make her own public comments, raising even more eyebrows yesterday by insisting that the $650 million in hotel and restaurant tax money the city would spend on stadium renovations “isn’t going to Tepper Sports and Entertainment” but “is going to a community asset, the facility,” leading to this hilariously patient explanation from WFAE:

Under the plan, the city would spend $650 million worth of hotel/motel and prepared food and beverage taxes on the stadium, which is owned by David Tepper’s company. While the city might write a check to contractors, all of the resulting improvements would also be owned by Tepper.

The money would increase the value of the stadium, allowing the owner to generate more money from games, concerts and other events.

It would be like agreeing to pay for a new roof for your friend’s house. That friend would still own the house and the roof — even if you then claimed the money didn’t go to the friend because you paid the roofer directly.

It’s currently unclear which way the Charlotte city council is leaning on its vote, but maybe we’ll get more insights after Monday’s public hearing, which will last from … 3 to 5 p.m., really, they’ve only allotted two hours for this? It’s also still not on the city public hearing calendar, so unclear if it will be livestreamed, but I’ll post an update here if a link turns up.

Share this post:

Charlotte council wants assurance Panthers owner will pay for future upgrades, doesn’t want to hear public’s opinion

The proposed Carolina Panthers stadium renovation deal is a weirdly constructed one: The city of Charlotte would pay off $650 million of an initial $800 million construction cost between now and 2029; team owner David Tepper would provide the other $150 million, plus $421 million after 2029 for what the Charlotte Business Journal calls “as yet publicly undisclosed future improvements and replacements of obsolete technology and other equipment.” And while Charlotte city officials at a hearing last night didn’t seem to be asking the big question — why would the public be on the hook for 81% of the cost of an initial renovation when Tepper would get all the revenues, especially in exchange for just a 15-year lease extension guarantee — they did ask another obvious one, that being: What if we spend the public money and then Tepper decides not to spend his?

[Councilmembers] Dimple Ajmera, Dante Anderson and Malcolm Graham, among others … asked for more details about what Tepper Sports’ future commitments entail and what kinds of penalties or claw-back provisions will be included in the contract.

Ajmera referred to “the elephant in the room,” alluding to Tepper Sports founder David Tepper abandoning an $800 million team headquarters project in Rock Hill in 2022.

The headquarters was more than halfway through construction when Tepper pulled the plug, citing unmet obligations by local government. Construction never resumed and the matter was resolved in bankruptcy court.

Yeah, so when you’re asking for a $650 million check from taxpayers, maybe having bailed on another project because you belatedly wanted more public money is not the best optics, as the kids say.

Still, the council as a whole seems set to approve the $650 million subsidy, with one, Ed Driggs, justifying it using the brain-breaking argument that using city hotel tax money “is not your property tax, this is not sales tax, these are revenues that are collected by the hospitality interest for the purpose of investment in ventures like this.” (For the record, other North Carolina cities like Asheville have used hotel tax money to pay for parks, and are considering using it for things like affordable housing and transit.) The city government has set up a website to collect public comments on the proposal (scroll way down here), but won’t disclose how many are positive vs. negative, and the city council didn’t allow any public testimony on the plan at last night’s hearing:

The council now says there will be at least one chance for public comment, on June 24, immediately before the council vote on the plan. There’s still a chance that the council could delay its vote until it comes back from its summer break in August, but Tepper says that would delay his construction schedule, which apparently was set based on getting city approval of his $650 million subsidy in a matter of just three weeks. Two-Minute Warning, check!

Share this post:

Friday roundup: Voters hate stadium subsidies, business leaders love ’em, the truth must lie somewhere in the middle

Thanks for sticking around to the end of the week! As a reward, you get more news items to stick around through! This is the information economy you signed up for, sorry, no refunds!

  • The folks at No Home Run in Tampa Bay have commissioned a poll on the Rays stadium plans, and say it shows that while 51% of voters supported them initially, that figure fell to 38% after respondents heard “key financial details.” This turns out to be: that Rays owner Stu Sternberg would get stadium land at a price that appears to be below market value, that he wouldn’t pay property taxes, that the city would be on the hook for $494 million (including interest) while Sternberg would keep all revenues from the stadium including non-baseball revenue, and that he would not share profits on the sale of the team with the city, all of which are undeniably accurate — all polls are hot garbage, it’s true, but this one seems as legit as any.
  • What do people in Charlotte think of the plan to spend $650 million in public money on Carolina Panthers stadium upgrades? “Leaders say” that it’s necessary for Charlotte to remain a “big-league city,” according to the Charlotte Observer, at least if by “leaders” you mean the Charlotte Regional Business Alliance, that’s how representative democracy works, right, the only important people are the ones who own businesses? When not reporting on what the bosses think, the Observer also asked, “Could the Panthers leave Charlotte if they don’t get $650 million from the city?”, answering its own question by saying that sure, “the Panthers don’t appear to be interested in moving” and team owner David Tepper has made “no outward statements about wanting to relocate,” but they could, and other NFL teams have, are you $650 million worth of scared yet, huh, huh?
  • The Jacksonville city council seems prepared to rubber-stamp the city’s plan to spend $775 million in public money on Jaguars stadium renovations, with no councilmembers at a Wednesday workshop expressing major misgivings about the deal. There will be a single public hearing on June 17 for Jacksonville residents to weigh in — it remains to be seen how many councilmembers will show up for that, and how many will listen as opposed to just playing with their phones.
  • The Indianapolis City-County Council on Monday approved Mayor Joe Hogsett’s plan to create a TIF district to kick back taxes for a new MLS team and dissolve the one previously approved for the USL’s Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven fans are displeased, and some councilmembers questioned whether dedicating tax money to a team and ownership group that don’t even exist yet is the best move, but Hogsett countered that the Eleven plans were too financially risky and also the stadium was going to be built on a damn African-American graveyard, so good points on both sides, really!
  • Illinois House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch has become the latest state official to tell the Chicago Bears and White Sox owners to pound sand on their subsidy requests: “Even after the election, I just think it’s, things we have to focus on: the kitchen table issues. People want to make sure their groceries are affordable, their rent is affordable, you know, that they have a roof over their head. The last thing they want us to be talking about is stadiums for sports teams. … As we’ve said to the Bears over and over again, to the White Sox, and also to the Chicago Red Stars, there’s just no appetite to use taxpayer funding to fund stadiums for billionaires.”
  • The Chicago Reader, meanwhile, has a good article on Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson’s weird obsession with building the Bears a new stadium with tax money, which is even better since they fixed the part where the coining of the term “vaportecture” was credited to my old Deadspin editor Barry Petchesky. (It’s not the Reader’s fault — the new Deadspin owners broke a bunch of bylines when they did a site redesign, though they’re fixing them now.) I get quoted some in the piece, but the best line, as is often the case, goes to University of Chicago sports economist Allen Sanderson: “There’s a better chance of Brandon Johnson being drafted number one by the Bears than that stadium making a dollar.”
  • Janet Marie Smith, who worked on the design of the Baltimore Orioles‘ Camden Yards but is not involved with its current renovation, was asked by the Baltimore Banner to comment on what the O’s owners could possibly be spending $600 million or more of public money on, and mentioned various things that reflect a “more fluid way of watching a game,” including more standing room and bar areas, which is certainly one way of describing giving fans fewer places to sit.
  • The NFL is ramping up lobbying efforts to protect the use of federally tax-exempt bonds for stadiums, holding a briefing for Congressional aides during the draft in April. None of the recent attempts to rein in this practice went beyond a committee hearing, but since it saves sports team owners about $230 million a year in taxes for absolutely no benefit to the U.S. as a whole, may as well throw a few lobbyists at making sure no one even thinks about touching it, that’s the sports league way.
Share this post:

Panthers’ economic impact claims would require each fan to spend an extra $1000 per game

What’s a good way to distract people from the huge dollar figure that you’re asking the public to deliver to you for your stadium renovations? Throw out an even huger number, and call that “benefits”:

Panthers stadium renovations could generate $22 billion economic impact

If you’re even a semi-regular reader of this site, you’re probably already rolling your eyes: Economic consulting reports are usually just PR documents designed to make made-up numbers seem legit, and “economic impact” in particular is a largely meaningless term that can reflect people handing each other money with no benefit to the local economy. But sure, let’s check out these impact figures and see where they come from.

According to a slideshow on the city of Charlotte’s website, the current Carolina Panthers stadium generates $1.1 billion a year in economic impact (money changing hands) and $54.3 million in fiscal impact (actual taxes paid). The very fine print there reads “Source: Economic Impact Report created by Dr. Tom H. Regan, Department of Sport and Entertainment Management, University of South Carolina.” Regan, a trip to LinkedIn tells us, has bachelor’s and master’s degrees in accounting, and an educational doctorate in sport administration, none of which especially qualifies him to determine, for example, how much money spent at Panthers games would still be spent at other Charlotte-area events if the football team ceased to exist.

That $22 billion figure for additional impact from a renovated stadium — and $1 billion in actual taxes generated — isn’t actually in the city report, but just in a city statement quoted by WBTV. So we don’t know if it was calculated by Regan or just pulled out of city officials’ butts. We can, however, figure out what it would take to make those numbers real:

  • Panthers owner David Tepper is agreeing to stay in town for an additional 20 years (or maybe 15 if he decides to pay to leave early, but let’s give him the benefit of the doubt here), meaning to get to $1 billion, the stadium renovations would have to generate an additional $50 million in tax revenues a year.
  • The renovated stadium wouldn’t change the stadium’s capacity, so the additional tax money would have to be generated by the same number of fans that are currently attending Panthers games.
  • Likewise, the Panthers’ payroll and the number of hotel stays wouldn’t go up just because there would be new bars for body-horror cloned fans to go to, so all of the new tax revenues would have to come from additional in-game spending.
  • The Panthers draw about 600,000 fans a year to home games. That comes to $83 in additional taxes per fan per game.
  • The Charlotte sales tax rate is 7.25%. So to generate $83 in sales taxes, each fan at each game would have to spend an additional $1149.

There might be a couple of other tax revenue streams to take into consideration, plus things like multiplier effects — it’s hard to say without seeing the actual report, if the actual report even shows its math — but suffice to say that the only way for renovations to an existing stadium for an existing team to have the kind of impact Charlotte city officials are claiming would be for ticket and concessions prices to go up astronomically. And even then, you’d have to account for how much those Panthers fans cut back on their spending on other things after dropping thousands of dollars just to go to a football game.

I just wrote all that without checking in on Economist Twitter, let’s see what it has to say about these claims:

Yep, that about covers it. I’m sure the North Carolina news media will correct its errors tomorrow and hahaha, no, that never happens. But we can pretend it will, and if there’s one thing this whole situation proves, it’s that if you pretend hard enough, you can have it called news — now just let me fire up Powerpoint…

Share this post:
Field of Schemes