Friday roundup: County tells Rays no stadium approval by June 1, Blazers and Wild get pushback on subsidy demands as well

Welcome to any new readers who are joining us for the first time this week in the wake of all the news craziness about the Kansas City Royals and Chicago Bears stadium deals. It’s Friday, which means it’s time for a speed run through stadium and arena news items that were otherwise overlooked this week. But first, one city has seen developments in its stadium wrangle that deserve attention at a bit more length:

One of the standard ploys in the sports stadium demand playbook is what in Chapter 4 of Field of Schemes we called the “two-minute warning”: Setting a deadline, arbitrary if necessary, and using it to get elected officials scrambling to determine how to fund a new sports venue with public dollars without taking time to think about whether to do so. But playing chicken, obviously, comes with the risk that your opponent won’t blink first, and that’s what appears to be happening to Tampa Bay Rays owner Patrick Zalupski, who has been informed that Hillsborough County will not be meeting his June 1 deadline for signing off on a stadium deal that could total anywhere from $2 billion to a lot more in public costs:

That deadline, the team has said, is necessary not only for the ballpark to open in time for the 2029 Major League Baseball season, but for the deal to be feasible at all.

On Thursday, the county attorney’s office informed the team that meeting such a deadline is improbable, according to a memorandum obtained by the Tampa Bay Times.

A timeline, the memo reads, “cannot be reasonably considered” until all involved parties reach an agreement on the terms. After a preliminary agreement is reached, “it would likely take at least 60-90 days” to negotiate the deal’s development and funding obligations.

That’s perfectly reasonable, given that the county’s memorandum of understanding for the stadium still includes a lot of open questions and there is no MOU yet at all for the rest of the development that Zalupski says he wants to build atop what’s currently Hillsborough College’s Dale Mabry campus. But it also messes with Zalupski’s timetable — not just that he wants to open a new stadium by spring 2029 (probably overly optimistic anyway, given that stadiums take three years to build and he’d have to tear down part of the college campus before he could begin construction) but that he desperately wants to get the deal approved this legislative session, before his pal Ron DeSantis is term-limited out of the governor’s office at the end of 2026.

Tampa Bay Rays CEO Ken Babby has already warned the county that “we would have no choice but to evaluate alternatives” if the June 1 deadline isn’t met, but Zalupski’s options are limited there: He’s not likely to be able to negotiate and push through a stadium plan in another city (Orlando has a big sign! Greensboro exists!) by June 1, so he’s going to be left having to work out a deal without the hammer of having Florida’s governor in his corner.

One alternative would be for the Rays owner to walk back some of his demands in Tampa. Leading Rays stadium deal critic county commissioner Joshua Wostal has said he’d consider approving just $268 million in hotel tax money, saying, “Start acting like a serious bidder. The offer is out there.” Of course, $268 million is a whole hell of a lot less than the $1 billion in city and county money that Zalupski wants, but maybe he’d be happy to take his $1 billion or so in state-gifted tax-exempt land and run with it, and give up on shaking down Tampa and Hillsborough County quite so hard? The only way to find out is to ask, and kudos to Hillsborough County officials for seemingly understanding that it’s both their right and their responsibility to haggle, and not being bullied into rushing into a deal.

Anyway, sorry for the Tampa-specific digression, on to the bullet points now:

  • Also in no hurry to rubber-stamp a rushed sports venue deal: The Portland city council, whose members are balking at signing a nondisclosure agreement to engage in Trail Blazers arena funding talks or sign a letter to the NBA supporting an arena deal. “If you want the public to support using public money to remodel a stadium, then you need to make the case to them in public about why using those funds is better than some alternative,” councilmember Mitch Green wrote on Bluesky. Blazers owner and renowned cheapskate Tom Dundon has already landed $365 million in state money toward arena renovations, but it looks like the remaining $235 million in city and county money could be a slightly harder lift.
  • And in yet another pushback to a sports subsidy demand, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz has said that while he personally would be fine with giving the Wild $200 million in state money for arena renovations, “it’s going to be a tough lift in a non-budget year to be able to get that done.” Okay, that sounds less like “no” and more like “come talk to us in 2027,” and given that Wild owner’s Craig Leipold’s lease doesn’t expire until 2035 he can afford to wait, but it still counts as a kind of pushback.
  • Kansas News Service has done a deeper dive into Missouri’s potential funding for a new Kansas City Royals stadium at Crown Center, and found that it could be less than advertised: Last year’s Show-Me Sports Investment Act limits state funding to whatever sales and income tax revenue a team paid in the year before a stadium deal is agreed to, and for the Royals at Kauffman Stadium in 2025 that was likely in the $15-17 million range. That would only cover around $250 million in stadium bonds, a fair bit less than the “at least $350 million” to $900 million numbers that have previously been floated. If the state coughs up less, it could bring the public stadium subsidy down to $1.3 billion — unless the city’s $600 million that has yet to be negotiated turns out to be more than $600 million counting things like a repair fund, in which case it’d be more again. It’s becoming ever clearer that this whole thing is barely penciled out, let alone inked, but headline writers gonna headline write.
  • Whenever a sports team owner or elected official points to the Atlanta Braves‘ Battery stadium district as an example of a sports development project paying for itself, I make a point of linking to Kennesaw State University economist J.C. Bradbury’s paper on how no it di’n’t. But even academics know that nobody likes to read academic papers, so Bradbury has penned an essay for The Conversation — titled “Sorry, Tampa Bay, mixed‑use districts don’t reverse the dismal economics of sports venues” — that lays out exactly what did and didn’t happen in Cobb County, Georgia: The Braves owners are bringing in an extra $97 million a year from the Battery, while the county is running a loss of about $15 million a year. If it seems crazy that this sea of red ink is being held up as the kind of success story that other cities should emulate, such is the magical power of being a sports team owner in a country where journalism has long since given up fact-checking the press releases of rich dudes.
  • The wandering Athletics just released a new promo video for premium seating at their under-construction-and-they-swear-they’ll-finish-it Las Vegas stadium, and it is a hilarious supercut of what SF Gate describes as “AI-generated scenes of AI-generated people walking through the AI-generated models of what the club sections of the park might look like.” I’m not sure whether my favorite bit is how the AI fans are all wearing what appear to be A’s jerseys with the A’s logo removed or the multiple extreme closeups of wine glasses, but I can agree with Oakland sportswriter Dan Moore’s comment that “when I close my eyes and think ‘baseball’ I literally think the exact opposite of this.” SFGate further reports that they reached out to A’s officials to ask how much if any of this represented what a Vegas A’s stadium might actually look like as opposed to just AI hallucinations, but “an A’s spokesperson initially asked for a deadline extension to respond and then later came back and declined to comment,” LOLAthletics.
  • In less encouraging modern journalism news, WKYC reports “Cavaliers‘ impending playoff run already boosting business for downtown Cleveland bars,” citing precisely one owner of a bar a block from the arena who is “expecting steady traffic throughout the day,” which isn’t the same thing as “already boosting” at all. Bar owners more than one block from the arena were presumably unavailable for comment on whether they anticipated empty barstools while everyone was off watching the Cavs.
  • Friends don’t let friends who are concerned about being constantly surveilled and possibly targeted for being associated with people on New York Knicks and Rangers owner James Dolan’s enemies list go to Madison Square Garden.
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Friday roundup: Rays, Coyotes, A’s fiascos keep on fiascoing

All kinds of news of the week to cover this morning, and I already lost a couple of hours getting up early to yell at my senator’s window about this fiasco. Let’s start with the Tampa Bay Rays‘ own fiasco, and then work backwards:

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Friday roundup: O’s lease, Brewers doubletalk, A’s lawsuit, Bears gibberish

Today’s Friday where you are, right? I’ve completely lost track, honestly. Some things happened this week, or maybe last week, but they definitely happened, let’s talk about them:

  • The Baltimore Orioles owners announced a 30-year lease extension on Camden Yards last night by putting it up on the scoreboard between innings, that’s totally normal, yup. Actual details like what if anything the team got on top of the $600 million in state money approved last year will have to await a Friday news conference.
  • Wisconsin state representative Rob Brooks, who co-authored the bill to give Milwaukee Brewers owner Mark Attanasio even more money than he asked for, now says that he doesn’t want the city of Milwaukee to give Attanasio $7.5 million a year, but just $5 million a year. “If they come up with the things they’ve counted they can do and we think we can do, I do think it will be around $5 million,” said Brooks, which, sorry, what? You really gotta show us some actual legislative language, man, this trying to describe things using your words thing just isn’t going well at all.
  • “Representatives with ties to the A’s” have sued the teachers’ union–backed group Schools Over Stadiums over their proposed Las Vegas A’s stadium referendum “not fully describing the petition’s ‘substantive impacts’ on the project,” according to SOS. Who? What impacts? “This is a developing story. Check back for updates.” Pro journalism tip, Las Vegas Review-Journal: Try to answer at least some of the five W’s before hitting publish. (The Las Vegas Sun has a bit more info, adding that the suit is from registed lobbyists Danny Thompson and Thomas Morley and is objecting to the referendum petition trying to overturn just the funding part of the stadium bill and being “argumentative,” but doesn’t explain why either of those things would disqualify it from the ballot.)
  • Arlington Heights is still talking to Chicago Bears execs about a new stadium, and so is the mayor of Chicago, and that could mean that they’re about to approve a ton of subsidies or agree to a deal that doesn’t require a ton of subsidies or not agree to anything, really. “It’s what the people of Chicago elected me to do is to bring people together,” said Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson. “Being collaborative, compassionate and competent, those are the hallmarks of my administration. It’s what I expect, quite frankly, all leaders to possess.” Is there some sort of brain worm they inject mayors with at their inaugurations that make them talk like this?
  • Michael Baumann of FanGraphs writes that the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals owners are both trying to get new stadiums by claiming it would let them start spending money with the big boys, but “we all know this is bunk.” He also complains that new baseball stadiums are too disconnected from their neighborhoods and too tall and too generic (all true), and then headlines the whole thing “The Jewel Box Under End-Stage Capitalism,” to which I can only say promises, promises.
  • The Chicago Tribune is worried that if the Bears don’t win games, no one will want to give them stadium money, and WCPO is worried that if the Cincinnati Bengals don’t win games, no one will want to give them stadium money, and both are probably right, but is that really the part to be worried about?
  • Sports management professor Mark Rosentraub still thinks Saskatoon needs a new arena, this time to remain “competitive” for concerts, LOLRosentraub.
  • Los Angeles Rams owner Stan Kroenke may pull his stadium from consideration for hosting 2026 World Cup games because FIFA won’t let him have enough of a cut of the vig. Sometimes when elephants fight, we can just get an entertaining elephant fight, maybe?
  • The Athletic noticed that A’s owner John Fisher, during his recent interview with ESPN, said (in ESPN’s words) that his San Jose Earthquakes‘ stadium “is already outdated compared to newer MLS stadiums” and “lacks the capacity and premium seating that drives the kind of revenue needed to compete for championships.” The stadium is eight years old.
  • I don’t really like owning teams,” New York Knicks and Rangers LOLowner James Dolan told The New York Times, adding, “Being a professional sports owner in New York, you’re not beloved until you’re dead.” This may be overly optimistic, but sure, he’s welcome to try.
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Friday roundup: D-Backs owners sad no one is throwing money at them like in Milwaukee

The tchotchkes are in the mail! Repeat: The tchotchkes are in the mail! If you don’t get yours by the end of next week, please drop me a line and I’ll look into it.

And speaking of next week, I’m going to be traveling then, so expect to get your news updates somewhat irregularly and possibly at odd hours. In the meantime, here’s a pile of rounded-up news to slake your thirst for stadium and arena knowledge:

  • The Arizona Republic reports that the Diamondbacks owners still want to renovate Chase Field, but that “the organization thus far has been unable to find the sort of public/private partnership to make that happen,” which is a very creative way of saying “we keep waiting for somebody to leave a suitcase full of unmarked twenties on our doorstep, but it hasn’t happened.” Team CEO Derrick Hall told the paper: “We don’t have our hand out, but if you look at some of the other situations very similar to ours — like Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Baltimore — in each case they are getting strong investments from the public, from a mixture of city/county/state, and we just aren’t.” Hall added: “I’m starting to get concerned with the timing. I don’t think the city officials in particular understand the urgency of our lease, which expires in 2027.” That’s urgent for someone, clearly, but it’s not the city of Phoenix that would face having to go play in the street. Hall did say that the team would put in “more than” 75% of a potential $500 million price tag, though he also said he’d be interested in getting “land we can develop,” so be sure to read the fine print of any eventual proposal.
  • The state of Wisconsin and city of Milwaukee are now looking at spending $600 million in public money over 20 years to upgrade the Brewers stadium that a 2018 study found needed a maximum of $84.5 million in improvements, reports Urban Milwaukee’s Bruce Murphy. Milwaukee residents overwhelmingly oppose the plan, but the Republican leadership in the legislature is currently looking at just taking tax money away from the city and giving it to Brewers owner Mark Attanasio, which is exactly how democracy is supposed to work, A+ work there guys.
  • The House Oversight Committee approved a bill to let Washington, D.C. keep control over the RFK Stadium site, while defeating an amendment that would have prevented D.C. from using public funds to build a new Commanders stadium there. The politics is a little complex here, though, with some Congressmembers arguing against using public money while defending D.C.’s right to use public money, so there’s a lot more haggling to go where this came from.
  • The development team behind the Philadelphia 76ers arena plans released a report it commissioned on the economic impact of the project; please pick a random three-digit number and add six zeroes to it and you’ll be as close to accurate as the report. In related news, the 76ers’ developer partner is apparently kind of a dick.
  • Missed this one last week: The New York city council has approved a new operating permit for Madison Square Garden, but only for another five years. This can will apparently be kicked down the road until Penn Station gets renovated, or the sun burns out, whichever comes first.
  • The temporary cricket stadium in a Bronx public park is dead, with the 2024 men’s T-20 Cricket World Cup matches now to be held in a temporary cricket stadium in a Long Island public park instead.
  • The Associated Press declares the four front-runners for eventual MLB expansion to be Charlotte, Nashville, Portland, and Montreal, though then also mentions Salt Lake City and Austin, so it looks like they’re mostly going by Googling “baseball expansion cities” and taking whatever’s on the first page of hits.
  • Local tourism agency releases PowerPoint on how cool a new sports arena would be” is exactly the kind of journalism I expect from 2023, deep sigh.
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Friday roundup: It was the best of summers for team owners demanding stadiums, it was the worst of summers for the rest of us

The calendar on my screen says it’s September, which means we made it through another summer. (Not technically until the equinox on September 23, I guess, but if Labor Day weekend doesn’t mark the end of summer, I don’t want to be a part of your arbitrary seasonal delineation scheme.) And quite a summer it was, kicking off with Oakland A’s owner John Fisher fighting for (and getting) $600 million in public money for a new stadium in Las Vegas, then proceeding with Kansas City Royals owner John Sherman ramping up talk about a new $2 billion stadium project either in downtown K.C. or in the next county over, the mayor of Oklahoma City saying the Thunder need a new arena because their 22-year-old one “will keep getting older,” the San Antonio Spurs owners exploring a new arena to replace the one that they just had renovated for them a few years back, many anonymous people claiming that the Milwaukee Brewers will move somewhere without $400 million in publicly funded upgrades to their 22-year-old stadium, and of course the great New York City cricket stadium fiasco, which just gets more fiascoey by the day.  Plus the Chicago Bears are still shopping themselves around to every possible Chicago suburb, the Arizona Coyotes owners are doing the same with every town in the Phoenix area, and the mayor of San Francisco wants to build a soccer stadium without even knowing for what soccer team for some reason.

There are a bunch of possible reasons why we’re seeing this flurry of new sports subsidy demands: lots of stadiums built in the ’90s getting to a point where team owners aren’t embarrassed to ask for new ones, flush state budgets and the promise of federal infrastructure spending getting owners salivating, a rush particularly in MLB to secure new stadium deals before expansion maybe takes some cities off the potential move threat table. Or, you know, this is just the sort of hellscape we’re doomed to live in after our government decided to give all the money to the rich people and then let them spend it on buying elections. Either way, this site’s work clearly isn’t going to be done for a while yet, so I better get started on some fresh tchotchkes to keep you all interested in helping to support it.

And if you prefer news items to tchotchkes, we got you covered there too:

  • Lease extension talks between the state of Maryland and Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos might still be going nowhere fast, but Gov. Wes Moore (pictured here wearing an Orioles uniform and here doing it again, because that’s how he rolls) says he’s confident of “being able to not just get the lease done, but also making sure that getting the lease done includes all the other lenses that I think are going to be important in this long-term deal.” “Lenses” here apparently means a plan to redevelop the area around Camden Yards, which Moore painted as a win-win for the city and state, and surely not just a giveaway of $300 million in state money plus public land to Angelos so that he can profit from the redevelopment, heaven forfend.
  • Los Angeles Angels owner Arte Moreno is still trying to get the city of Anaheim to pay him $5 million for costs associated with “processing the illegal cash sale of Angel Stadium,” as the Voice of OC puts it. That’s pretty ballsy, but keep in mind this is a guy who’s also trying to get out of paying MLB luxury tax by cutting all the players he just traded for in July and hoping someone else signs them, not to mention tried to push through an illegal stadium land purchase to begin with, so ballsy is pretty much par for his course.
  • Two New York City council committees have voted to give Madison Square Garden just a five-year extension on its operating permit, half the length of its previous permit and infinitely smaller than the perpetual permit that the owner of the Knicks and Rangers was seeking. While this could raise hopes of seeing the city’s Padlock Unit chain up the arena gates, more likely it’s just the council kicking the can down the road again; especially since, as the New York Times notes in classic Timesian we’re-not-saying-we’re-just-saying style, “the Dolan family has shown itself adept at bending the will of the government to advance its own interests, particularly when the various branches of government are not on the same page.”
  • The kerfuffle over the Philadelphia 76ers owners’ terrible “community info sessions” on their new Chinatown arena plans continues, with the first public Zoom meeting held in Mandarin criticized as “garbled” and lacking proper translation; no word yet on how this Tuesday’s meeting in Cantonese went.
  • The Charlotte Observer sent questionnaires to city council candidates asking how much the city should be contributing to upgrades on the Carolina Panthers‘ stadium, and if “any answer would be premature” is the kind of response you were hoping for, then you will be very pleased by the efficacy of candidate questionnaires. (To be fair, it is kind of dumb to ask about how much should be spent without taking into consideration things like whether the team owners would pay additional rent, say; to also be fair to the Observer, it really does sound like the candidates mostly used this argument as an excuse to duck the question entirely.)
  • Construction has finally begun on Inter Miami‘s cursed new permanent stadium! Or at least “earthwork and site work” has begun, according to a team press release, jeez, Miami Herald, you couldn’t even be bothered to drive over and confirm it? The stadium is now scheduled to open sometime in 2025, but we’ve been hearing similar predictions for, good lord, has it been five years already? At this rate Lionel Messi’s kids are more likely to play at a new Inter Miami stadium than he is.
  • If you thought what Congress needed was a Historic Stadium Caucus to work on ways to upgrade older college football stadiums, including possibly with federal infrastructure money, U.S. Rep. Garret Graves has some great news for you.
  • The promised housing construction that was supposed to be built as part of the Brooklyn Nets arena is set to miss a May 2025 deadline, and New York state is considering greasing the skids by restoring a tax break that expired last year, because of course it is.
  • There might be worse ways to frame a story about how the owners of the San Antonio Missions are trying to get city money for a new minor-league baseball stadium and city officials haven’t been returning their phone calls until the next day than “Missions can’t get to first base on downtown baseball stadium,” but between the what’s the holdup with approving subsidies? and the terrible baseball play on words, it’s hard to imagine one.
  • The company that owns the Boston Red Sox is buying the company that owns the TV rights to Pittsburgh Pirates games, which Marc Normandin points out means that going forward it’ll be easier for the Red Sox to outspend the Pirates if the Pirates make more TV money. Normandin calls this “just a weird sentence to type”; me, I’m reminded of syndicate ball, which was a fun time.
  • What do “Spring training season brought $418M to state’s economy in 2023” and “Beyoncé’s Renaissance Tour has a huge economic impact” have in common? If you guessed “They’re both as big a load of BS as that time people insisted LeBron James leaving the Cavs destroyed Cleveland’s economy,” you’re a winner!
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MSG could get 10-year permit extension in exchange for cooperating with $7B Penn Station redo

It’s been a long, long road, but with just three weeks to go before Madison Square Garden’s operating permit expires and the New York Knicks and Rangers face being locked out of their home arena (not actually going to happen, but fun to imagine nonetheless), there’s a proposal afoot for the city council to set conditions on its renewal. And they’re pretty conditional conditions:

Madison Square Garden would be allowed to sit atop Penn Station for another 10 years under a proposal laid out by city officials on Monday…

“It’s obvious that any improvements to Penn Station will require use of property that is owned by Madison Square Garden, no surprise there,” [Department of City Planning director Dan] Garodnick said. “Department of City Planning believes that MSG will need to convey additional easements or other property interests as necessary to allow for the rehab of Penn Station. And the development of new train entrances to Penn Station. And also a mid-block train hall.”

In essence, James Dolan’s sports and entertainment empire will be given a spare ten-year extension, in exchange for not standing in the way of Gov. Kathy Hochul’s reimagining of the World’s Most Infamous Train Station that will cost $7 billion of money from hmm, haven’t figured that out yet. This is a slightly odd price to demand, but it is a price nonetheless, so it’ll be interesting to see how Dolan responds.

One price that won’t be demanded is the end of MSG’s $947 million-and-counting full property tax break, of which Garodnick said curtly: “We don’t take a position on that. That’s a matter of state tax policy.” Which, yes, it is, but it’s a matter of city budgeting since it’s the city that’s losing the property tax dollars ($42 million this year alone), and city officials have weighed in on it before, but sure, whatever. The price of Madison Square Garden’s continued operation is going to be “stay outta the way of our new train station,” and unless the city council dramatically changes Garodnick’s proposal — the City Planning Commission approved it yesterday, the council should vote in upcoming weeks — for better or worse, that’s what New Yorkers are going to get.

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NYC is handing out $377m a year in tax breaks to its pro sports teams

The New York City Independent Budget Office, an agency created in 1989 as an independent check on city governance that has provided a ton of good economic analysis over the years throwing cold numerical water on various elected officials’ pet projects, has a report out on city subsidies for Madison Square Garden and the city’s three most recently built sports venues, for the YankeesMets, and Brooklyn Nets. And while it includes no overall subsidy numbers — “because the subsidy structures for each are different, cross-comparisons are difficult to make,” writes the IBO — there is this breakdown of property tax breaks alone:

As of February 2023, the DOF assessed fair market values for Yankee Stadium, Citi Field, and Barclays Center are $2.6 billion, $3.2 billion, and $2.6 billion respectively, and the property tax amounts would be $115 million, $121 million, and $99 million, respectively.

That’s foregone property tax amounts per year, mind you. Add in the complete tax break for Madison Square Garden, and the city is currently granting Hal Steinbrenner, Steve Cohen, Joe Tsai, and James Dolan $377 million a year in tax breaks. (The Yanks, Mets, and Nets technically pay a smaller amount of “payments in lieu of taxes,” but as the IBO notes, these are redirected to pay off the teams’ own construction costs, so the city treasury is still getting bupkis.) Even without taking into account that property values are certain to rise, that would amount to more than $5 billion in present value over the next 30 years, assuming all these sports facilities last 30 years, or at least that the tax exemptions do.

This is on top of more than $1.1 billion in other subsidies for the Yanks and Mets stadiums alone. (The Nets arena financing is so complex, being all intertwined with housing development and its attendant subsidies, that it’s nearly impossible to put a number on its public costs.) That brings the total to more than $6 billion, which could build 15,000 units of affordable housing, or an entire new train line linking Brooklyn and Queens, or lots of other things costing $5 billion. (A free 99-cent pizza slice for every city resident every day for a year and a half?) It’s a bunch of money, but “a bunch of money” doesn’t make headlines, numbers like “$377 million a year” and “more than $6 billion” do, so feel free to bandy those about on the socials as you see fit.

[NOTE: This post initially had lower numbers because I typoed “$277 million” for “$377 million.” My fingers regret the error.]

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Friday roundup: Sixers tell Chinatown community it’s wrong about community benefits, plus even more reasons to clown on James Dolan!

Happy Friday! Unless you’re New York Mets fan or a Puerto Rico fan, that is, or a fan of not destroying the climate more than we already have, or of knowing how words in Spanish are pronounced, in which case sorry, hope next week will go better! (SPOILER: It won’t. Maybe for you, but not for someone, possibly everyone. I mean, have you been paying attention at all to [waves hands at generally everything]?)

We got news! Or at least news-adjacent:

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People are haggling over the price of paying James Dolan to move Madison Square Garden, this can’t be good

A little pressed for time this morning, but I didn’t want to let pass this editorial in City & State, a New York state political news site that has reprinted my work at least once, arguing that Gov. Kathy Hochul should give Madison Square Garden owner James Dolan $800 million to see if he’ll move the Knicks and Rangersout of the arena and build a new one elsewhere. A brief annotation:

If the Buffalo Bills got $800 million in public funds to build their new stadium, why not work on a similar plan for the Garden?

Um, because even if you reject the state’s stupid estimates for the cost of moving the Garden, it’s still likely to cost around $3 billion to build a new arena anywhere that Dolan would want to move to, and his minions have stated that he won’t agree to decamp unless he’s made whole for the cost of relocating? So $800 million is simultaneously way too little to get the job done if you’re hoping to pay off Dolan to get him out the way, and way too much if you think giving $800 million to one of New York’s most hated billionaires who’s already gotten $875 million in inflation-adjusted tax breaks is not the best use of state money.

Eddie Small of Crain’s New York Business also suggested that the move could help play into Vornado Realty’s ambitious development plan around Penn Station, which was put on hold because of market conditions.

That’s Crain’s New York piece is worth reading if only for its incredible lede, which focuses on how hungry the author used to get while covering community board meetings, and its central tenet is pretty amazing, too: “I don’t know if a new Garden is something Vornado, the state or MSG itself would actually commit to doing, but it’s a worthwhile conversation to have.” Sure, if your local real estate giant is backing away from building publicly subsidized office towers because it’s realized nobody needs office towers in the age of Zoom meetings, offer them a chance to build a new arena instead, or in addition, or to make room for still more office towers, or something. (Small’s article doesn’t say, possibly because he had to stop writing abruptly because he was hungry.)

I’m personally saddened by the Hotel Pennsylvania’s loss, being that it was built to complement the original Penn Station across the street. However, using the site for a new arena does offer a consolation and opportunity for all interested parties to see progress made that ultimately benefits the community around the Garden and the rest of the city.

How exactly does — you know what, never mind, a close reading isn’t what this editorial needs. All anyone needs to understand is that some people really, really want a new Penn Station — look, here’s a whole New Yorker article written from their perspective — and are going to push for it to happen no matter the cost or whether it really benefits the community around the Garden and the rest of the city. This is the kind of political leverage that corporate subsidy cravers dream of, and it’s little wonder Dolan’s henchman opened the door last week to building a new Garden if his boss’s palms are greased enough: You can’t get if you don’t ask, and the best way to move the Overton window is to get people haggling over the price.

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Madison Square Garden might be willing to move from atop Penn Station — for a multi-billion-dollar payout

So there was a community board meeting in Manhattan last Wednesday about Madison Square Garden’s expiring operating permit, and someone asked whether the Garden couldn’t move across the street to the current site of the Hotel Pennsylvania, and an MSG official didn’t say no exactly:

[Executive Vice President Joel] Fisher, trying to reframe the discussion, said renewing the permit would not preclude an eventual move. A suggestion raised earlier in the meeting—that the Garden could move right across Seventh Avenue—“probably would satisfy us,” he said.

“That would satisfy being right on top of a transportation hub,” he said, though he added that such a proposal would need to account for the costs of construction.

All the people who are excited about getting Madison Square Garden off of its current site so the city can either rebuild the great lost Penn Station or build something new and ugly were very excited about this, since it’s the first time anyone with the New York Knicks and Rangers parent company has hinted at being willing to move. But that is a huge friggin’ caveat there at the end: “the costs of construction” could be mammoth. (If you watch the linked video, Fisher actually says, “Ultimately, who’s going to pay for that? Where is the money?”) This is especially true considering owner James Dolan would want a state-of-the-art building, plus land in midtown Manhattan is super-expensive even if nobody wants to eat lunch there.

How much exactly is impossible to say. The state Empire State Development agency estimated in June 2021 that building a new Garden would cost $8.6 billion, but the math was, shall we say, not the most robust:

And the footnotes:

So we have: the cost of a new arena based on the price tag for the weird concert theater thing with an invisibility cloak that MSG is building in Las Vegas; the cost of acquiring two full blocks of land (not all of which would be needed for an arena; MSG coexists on its current two-block plot with a large office building); the cost of buying the existing Garden (which is double-counting, since there’s no reason for the public to buy the teams’ current home and pay for a new one); and the cost of building a new Penn Station, which is not part of the price tag for an arena no matter how you slice it. It does, however, create an impressively high figure, which is what ESD was looking for in a document arguing for keeping the arena where it is.

But even if we reduce the projected cost to something more reasonable — say, the $1.15 billion current MSG valuation for an arena, plus $2 billion for the land that would be need to build it on — that’s still an impressively high figure given that Fisher clearly indicated he’d want the public to pay for it. While many people who either use Penn Station or just wish they could travel back to the glory days of New York City architecture would love to see the old station rebuilt, $3 billion and change just to clear away the arena (which, it’s worth noting, has now been around longer than the original Penn Station was) would be an awfully high price to pay.

What we’re seeing here is a couple of simultaneous games of chicken: New York City, which has that expiring operating permit hanging over Dolan’s head, is hoping to use it as leverage to get him to move MSG; and Dolan, who knows the city wants him to move, is hoping to use that as leverage to get a brand-new arena — or, if that fails, to get the city to balk at the price tag and grant him a perpetual permit on his existing one. (There’s also the separate question of Dolan’s perpetual property tax exemption, but that’s in the hands of the state legislature to deal with, no chicken necessary.) Historically, this has ended with the city council kicking the can down the road by extending the permit for another decade or so, and we’re likely to see at least one more extension by the time the permit expires this July. But there’s a significantly non-zero chance that Dolan will be able to use frustrations over the suckiness of Penn Station to wheedle his way into some kind of massive taxpayer concessions, and that’s worth keeping an eye on.

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